Cane Pace kicks off Triple Crown series

Horseracing Betting Lines

09/02/2010 - Freehold, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pacing's Triple Crown gets started on Labor Day with the running of the $300,000 Cane Pace at Freehold Raceway. Eight three-year-old pacers have been entered for the one-mile stakes.

The Triple Crown will continue with the Little Brown Jug on Thursday, September 23 at the Delaware County Fairgrounds in Ohio and the Messenger Pace at Yonkers Raceway on Saturday, November 6.

Meadowlands Pace winner One More Laugh will start from the inside post for the Cane Pace. The gelding will be driven by Tim Tetrick for co-owner and trainer Ray Schnittker.

Along with the Meadowlands Pace, One More Laugh also claimed the Art Rooney Pace this year at Yonkers. He was second last time out to Rock N Roll Heaven in the $500,000 Battle of the Brandywine at Harrah's Chester. Rock N Roll Heaven was second in the Meadowlands Pace.

This year One More Laugh has won four of 10 starts for $924,614. In his career the pacer has earned more than $1.5 million with 13 wins in 22 starts.

Breaking from post two will be Delmarvalous and driver Brian Sears. Sears won the 2007 Cane Pace with Always A Virgin.

Trained by co-owner George Teague, Jr., Delmarvalous won the $500,000 Delvin Miller Adios earlier this year and he was fifth in the $500,000 Battle of the Brandywine. He has won two of 11 races in 2010 for $443,070.

Teague also has I'm Gorgeous in the race. The three-year-old will be driven by Andy Miller from post four.

Last week I'm Gorgeous went wire-to-wire to win the Cane Pace elimination in 1:50 4/5 to equal the track record. The colt won three of 12 races this year with $315,446 in earnings. He won the $200,000 Battle of the Brandywine Consolation at Harrah's Chester on August 22.

Here is the complete field for the race in post position order: One More Laugh, Tim Tetrick; Delmarvalous, Brian Sears; Urgent Action, David Miller; I'm Gorgeous, Andy Miller; Rockin Image, Yannick Gingras; Valentino, George Brennan; Woodstock, Ron Pierce and Bg's Folly, Daniel Dube.

Post-time for the Cane Pace is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. (et) on Monday.

There have been 10 Pacing Triple Crown winners with No Pan Intended the last to do sweep in 2003. Vintage Master, driven by Daniel Dube, won last year's Cane Pace.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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